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Running out of steam

The juries out on how long the latest 'ceasefire' will last, traffic in the Bab el-Mandeb has slowed but tankers are still crossing and Chin
Published: July 27, 2026
Written by:
Will Cunliffe

Will Cunliffe

Research Analyst, The Officials
Will Cunliffe
and
Edward Hayden-Briffett

Edward Hayden-Briffett

Research Analyst, The Officials
Edward Hayden-Briffett
Reviewed by:
Jorge Montepeque

Jorge Montepeque

Head of Benchmarking, The Officials
Jorge Montepeque
Edition: Asia EditionVolume: 3Issue: 141
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The juries out on how long the latest 'ceasefire' will last, traffic in the Bab el-Mandeb has slowed but tankers are still crossing and Chinese crude imports are set to rebound but not to the extent the bulls would of hoped for.

How long this ‘ceasefire’ lasts is up for debate. Probably, until Trump’s war factories have built up the next missile batch. Market sources are largely sceptical over the prospects for peace having been burned by hope multiple times already. The Americans have nearly exhausted their missile supplies, despite whatever Trump claims. Market sources are fed up with the constant back and forth, and the bombing endangering oil supplies. Thanks to the informal reduction of strikes in both directions, structures continued to drop off hard in today’s Asian session after Friday’s weakening. The prompt spread opened much lower and traded down until the close at $3.97/bbl. Even so, Brent is still outperforming Dubai, as the Aug Brent/Dubai swap rose further to $7.68 by the close

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We invite you to read our reports, which are published twice a day, reflecting closing values at 16:30 Singapore time (SGT) and at 16:30 London time (GMT/BST). For any comments, please reach out to us through the emails provided in the signed documents.

Written by

Will Cunliffe

Research Analyst, The Officials
Will Cunliffe

Edward Hayden-Briffett

Research Analyst, The Officials
Edward Hayden-Briffett

About Asia Edition

Benchmark reports published at the close of the trading day in Asia.

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